Debt Ceiling: History and Overview (2024)

August 1, 2017

  • Congress last acted on the debt limit in November 2015 and suspended it until March 2017 – the debt limit is currently at $19.8 trillion.
  • The Treasury Department has asked that Congress raise the debt limit as soon as possible, although Treasury can continue to pay the government’s bills until September 29.
  • Treasury has been using extraordinary measures since March, when the debt limit went back into effect, to push back the deadline for congressional action.

History of the Debt Limit

Article I, Section 8 of the Constitution gives Congress the power “To borrow Money on the credit of the United States.” At first, Congress authorized each debt issuance, often for a specific purpose. For example, a 1902 law authorized debt issuance for construction of the Panama Canal. This ad hoc debt authorization scheme proved too difficult to maintain, and in 1939 Congress established the debt limit. This provided blanket authorization for debt issuance by the federal government as long as the limit was not breached.

Recent debt limit bills passed by Congress have suspended the limit for a period of time instead of raising it by a specific amount. Under this process, the debt limit does not apply for a set period of time and then goes back into effect after the suspension period is over. Then the previous limit is raised by the amount of debt that was accumulated during the suspension period. Since 1978, the debt limit has been raised or suspended 56 times.

Recent Debt Limit Increases

Debt Ceiling: History and Overview (1)

The costs of Delaying Action on the Debt Limit

The Government Accountability Office has said delays in raising or suspending the debt limit increase the federal government’s borrowing costs because they create uncertainty in the market. During the 2011 debt limit debate, GAO estimates that borrowing costs increased by $1.3 billion in fiscal year 2011. This does not include increased costs in future years. The 2013 debt limit debate increased borrowing costs far less: between $38 million and $70 million.

Federal Debt Since 1940

Debt Ceiling: History and Overview (2)

Secretary Mnuchin’s “Super powers”

Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin likes to say that he has super powers. Treasury has taken steps – both routine and extraordinary – to push off the date by which Congress must raise or suspend the debt limit. Some of these measures prevent Treasury from incurring more debt, while others actually lower the debt temporarily. The Congressional Budget Office estimates that these measures will be exhausted by October.

Routine Methods

Use cash balances. Treasury maintains cash balances with the Federal Reserve and can draw on these to pay obligations that would otherwise be financed with new borrowing. However, it must maintain an adequate balance in the Federal Reserve account because the Fed is legally prohibited from loaning the Treasury funds in the event of an overdraft.

Issue cash management bills. Cash management bills are Treasury’s method of borrowing cash on the open market for very short periods, usually just a few days at a time. When close to the debt limit, Treasury can use CM bills in a two-step process that favors short-term borrowing over long-term borrowing. First, Treasury either reduces the overall amount it seeks to borrow via long-term securities auctions, or it actually delays those auctions by a few days or weeks. Second, it replaces the lost borrowing with CM bills. Because this strategy involves altering regularly scheduled securities auctions and borrowing less money over a shorter time, GAO has said that it likely increases the long-term cost of borrowing money.

Extraordinary Actions

Suspend G-Fund investments. The Thrift Savings Plan, a federal employee retirement program, invests a portion of employee and employer contributions in Treasury securities through what it calls the G Fund. Treasury can suspend this investment when close to the debt limit. This action ensures that no new debt is incurred in this program until after the debt limit is increased. After the limit is raised, Treasury is legally obligated to repay lost interest on these uninvested funds.

Suspension and disinvestment of CSRDF investments. The Civil Service Retirement and Disability Fund is a trust fund for federal employee retirement that invests in Treasury securities. Once the debt limit has been reached, Treasury can declare a “debt issuance suspension period” that allows Treasury to take two separate actions: (1) suspend new CSRDF investments in Treasury securities; and (2) disinvest some Treasury securities held by the CSRDF. By law, the treatment of investments in the CSRDF must be duplicated for investments to the Postal Service Retiree Health Benefits Fund.

Suspend issuance of SLGS securities and savings bonds. Established in 1972, State and Local Government Series securities are offered by Treasury to help state and local governments invest their bond proceeds. This Treasury action does not actually lower the debt subject to the limit. Since SLGS securities can be issued any day that a state or local government would like to purchase them, suspending their issuance temporarily halts Treasury borrowing in this particular program until after the debt limit is raised.

Suspend ESF investments. The Exchange Stabilization Fund holds several types of assets, one of which is U.S. dollars. ESF often invests its excess dollars in Treasury securities. By suspending ESF investments, Treasury prevents another program from increasing the debt subject to the limit.

Exchange FFB debt for debt subject to the limit. The Federal Financing Bank essentially acts as the financing agency for many federal departments and agencies that incur debt or issue loan guarantees. Up to $15 billion in FFB debt is not subject to the statutory debt limit. Treasury has the authority to swap some debt subject to the limit in exchange for FFB debt. This action actually lowers overall debt subject to the limit.

Other methods outside of Treasury’s authority. Congressional action is required to allow any additional borrowing if all Treasury options have been exhausted. For example, Congress once passed a measure that allowed the March 1996 Social Security benefits to be paid with borrowing that was temporarily designated as not subject to the debt limit.

I am a financial expert with a deep understanding of the United States' fiscal policies, particularly in the area of the debt limit. My expertise is grounded in extensive research, analysis, and practical knowledge of the intricate workings of the government's financial mechanisms.

Now, let's delve into the concepts mentioned in the article dated August 1, 2017:

  1. Debt Limit Background:

    • The debt limit is a restriction imposed by Congress on the amount of money the U.S. government is allowed to borrow.
    • Initially, Congress authorized specific debt issuances for particular purposes, but in 1939, the debt limit was established to provide a blanket authorization for debt issuance.
  2. Recent Debt Limit Actions:

    • Congress has opted to suspend the debt limit instead of specifying a particular increase. This suspension period temporarily lifts the debt limit, and once it concludes, the previous limit is raised by the accumulated debt during the suspension.
  3. Costs of Delaying Action:

    • Delays in raising or suspending the debt limit can increase the federal government's borrowing costs. The Government Accountability Office (GAO) estimates substantial increases in borrowing costs during the 2011 debt limit debate.
  4. Treasury Secretary's "Super Powers":

    • Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin has employed routine and extraordinary measures to extend the deadline for congressional action on the debt limit.
    • The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) predicts that these measures will be exhausted by October.
  5. Routine Methods Used by Treasury:

    • Treasury maintains cash balances with the Federal Reserve and can use them to meet obligations without new borrowing.
    • Cash management bills are short-term borrowing tools used strategically when close to the debt limit.
  6. Extraordinary Actions by Treasury:

    • Treasury can suspend investments in the Thrift Savings Plan's G Fund and the Civil Service Retirement and Disability Fund (CSRDF) to prevent new debt until after the debt limit is increased.
    • Suspension of SLGS securities and savings bonds issuance temporarily halts Treasury borrowing in these programs.
  7. Methods Outside Treasury's Authority:

    • Congressional action is necessary if Treasury's options are exhausted. In the past, Congress passed measures allowing temporary borrowing not subject to the debt limit.

Understanding these concepts is crucial for comprehending the complexities and implications of managing the U.S. debt limit, a critical aspect of the country's fiscal policy. If you have any specific questions or need further clarification, feel free to ask.

Debt Ceiling: History and Overview (2024)

FAQs

Debt Ceiling: History and Overview? ›

The debt ceiling was raised 74 times from March 1962 to May 2011, including 18 times under Ronald Reagan, eight times under Bill Clinton, and seven times under George W. Bush. Congress has raised the debt ceiling 14 times from 2001 to 2016.

What was the original purpose of the debt ceiling? ›

The first debt limit was established to give the Treasury autonomy over borrowing by allowing it to issue debt up to the ceiling without congressional approval, making it easier to finance mobilization efforts in World War I. Before that, Congress generally had to authorize the Treasury to borrow in smaller increments.

How do you explain debt ceiling? ›

When the federal government runs a deficit—that is, spends more than it collects in revenue—it borrows money to cover the difference, usually by issuing IOUs in the form of U.S. Treasury securities. The debt ceiling is a legal limit on the amount of borrowing the Treasury can do.

Why is the US in so much debt? ›

One of the main culprits is consistently overspending. When the federal government spends more than its budget, it creates a deficit. In the fiscal year of 2023, it spent about $381 billion more than it collected in revenues. To pay that deficit, the government borrows money.

What happens to Social Security if the debt ceiling isn t raised? ›

Under normal conditions, the Treasury sends Social Security payments one month in arrears. That means the check you receive in June covers your benefits for the month of May. If the debt ceiling isn't raised, the Social Security payments due to be sent to beneficiaries in June would most likely still go out.

What is the debt ceiling and when and why was it created? ›

In 1917, during World War I, Congress created the debt ceiling with the Second Liberty Bond Act of 1917, which allowed the Treasury to issue bonds and take on other debt without specific Congressional approval, as long as the total debt fell under the statutory debt ceiling.

Who does the US owe money to? ›

Nearly half of all US foreign-owned debt comes from five countries.
Country/territoryUS foreign-owned debt (January 2023)
Japan$1,104,400,000,000
China$859,400,000,000
United Kingdom$668,300,000,000
Belgium$331,100,000,000
6 more rows

What country has the most debt? ›

Profiles of Select Countries by National Debt
  • Japan. Japan has the highest percentage of national debt in the world at 259.43% of its annual GDP. ...
  • United States. ...
  • China. ...
  • Russia.

What would happen if the US defaulted on its debt? ›

Economic recession or slowdown: A default could undermine investor and consumer confidence, leading to reduced spending and investment. This could also result in an economic slowdown or even a recession, affecting businesses, job creation and overall economic growth.

What is the #1 cause of debt in the US? ›

The largest percentages of the average consumer debt balance are mortgages.

Can the US ever get out of debt? ›

Under current policy, the United States has about 20 years for corrective action after which no amount of future tax increases or spending cuts could avoid the government defaulting on its debt whether explicitly or implicitly (i.e., debt monetization producing significant inflation).

What country is not in debt? ›

The 20 countries with the lowest national debt in 2022 in relation to gross domestic product (GDP)
CharacteristicNational debt in relation to GDP
Macao SAR0%
Brunei Darussalam2.06%
Kuwait3.08%
Hong Kong SAR4.27%
9 more rows
Apr 10, 2024

Will the stock market crash if the debt ceiling isn t raised? ›

Failure to raise the debt ceiling would send financial markets into turmoil, raise interest rates at a moment when elevated borrowing costs already weigh on economic activity and all but ensure a recession.

Which presidents borrowed from the Social Security fund? ›

Since 1983, every US President has borrowed from Social Security to pay for government expenditures. However, there is no evidence that any of the presidents has stolen a dime from Social Security.

Has Congress paid back money borrowed from Social Security? ›

Some have claimed that the government's borrowing from Social Security is “stealing,” but Johnson explained to VERIFY that this is misinformation. According to the SSA, the government is obligated to pay back borrowed funds and has never failed to do so.

What is the primary purpose of the debt ceiling quizlet? ›

The debt ceiling is the legal limit to the amount the federal government can borrow but, it is not effective. The government would have to shut down if it can't pay its bills. So the ceiling has been raised many times.

What did Congress decide on debt ceiling? ›

Congress passed and President Joe Biden signed into law the “Fiscal Responsibility Act,” an agreement to lift the federal debt ceiling until 2025 in exchange for capping federal spending programs at fiscal year (FY) 2023 levels in FY2024 and allowing an only 1% increase in spending in FY2025.

What would happen if US defaulted on debt? ›

Economic recession or slowdown: A default could undermine investor and consumer confidence, leading to reduced spending and investment. This could also result in an economic slowdown or even a recession, affecting businesses, job creation and overall economic growth.

When was the last time the US had a balanced budget? ›

United States

The Colorado Taxpayer Bill of Rights (the TABOR amendment) also bans surpluses and requires the state to refund taxpayers in event of a budget surplus. The last time that the budget was balanced or had a surplus was the 2001 United States federal budget.

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